Eventos Anais de eventos
COBEM 2023
27th International Congress of Mechanical Engineering
Variability and sensitivity of two models used to estimate photovoltaic production
Submission Author:
Nícolas M. F. T. S. Araújo , RN
Co-Authors:
Nícolas M. F. T. S. Araújo
Presenter: Nícolas M. F. T. S. Araújo
doi://10.26678/ABCM.COBEM2023.COB2023-1969
Abstract
Photovoltaic energy has shown a relevant growth of participation in the electric sector. However, the availability and reliability of photovoltaic systems are intrinsically intertwined with climate and can be influenced by changes. The study presented here investigates the variability and sensitivity of two models used to estimate the photovoltaic production potential (P_pv). Statistical analyses from the perspective of variability revealed that the difference between the P_pv estimated by these models reaches 7.11%. As for sensitivity, in the context of changes in ambient temperature, the relative difference in P_pv between models can be up to 4.28%, whereas in the context of changes in solar irradiation, the relative difference can be up to 18.37%. The consideration of the variability and sensitivity of the main sets of equations used to estimate the potential of photovoltaic energy production can help optimize the discussion of studies in this research area.
Keywords
Solar Energy, performance rate, Climate Change, PV modeling
