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ENCIT 2020
18th Brazilian Congress of Thermal Sciences and Engineering
FUTURE COSTS OF FUEL CELL ELECTRIC VEHICLES
Submission Author:
silvio carlos anibal almeida , RJ
Co-Authors:
silvio carlos anibal almeida
Presenter: silvio carlos anibal almeida
doi://10.26678/ABCM.ENCIT2020.CIT20-0415
Abstract
Fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) have zero tailpipe emissions, but are still considerably more expensive than internal combustion engines vehicles, which is the most significant obstacle to the mass adoption of these vehicles. FCEVs can become cheaper as manufacturing technology matures, economies of scale improve and hydrogen fuel costs decrease. This work presents a simplified analysis comparing the costs of an FCEV currently commercialized (the Nexo), a BEV (Kona) with the costs of a conventional vehicle of the same category (the Tucson). Fuel cell cost forecasts for production volumes of 100,000 and 500,000 units per year are presented, as well as the impact on purchase price and operating costs of an FCEV for the 2030 scenario. The results presented show that, with the establishment of fuel cell technology and the reduction of hydrogen prices, fuel cell vehicles can become economically competitive with internal combustion vehicles.
Keywords
Hydrogen, Fuel Cell Electric Vehicle, ADVISOR, Cost Analysis
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