Eventos Anais de eventos
ENCIT 2020
18th Brazilian Congress of Thermal Sciences and Engineering
ECONOMIC ANALYSIS AND RISKS OF IMPLEMENTATION OF A DEVICE TO MEASURE THE WORT DENSITY
Submission Author:
Simone Venturini , RS
Co-Authors:
Simone Venturini, Taís Alfonso, Joana Souza, Charles Rech
Presenter: Simone Venturini
doi://10.26678/ABCM.ENCIT2020.CIT20-0014
Abstract
The Brazilian craft beer market is promising. Taking that into account, in this article, the risks and the economic feasibility of implementing a digital densimeter in the craft brewing process are analyzed. The device serves to measure the wort density in real time during the craft beer fermentation process. For modeling analysis, capital recovery time metrics (Payback), net present value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) were used. The risks were analyzed under two aspects: qualitative analysis method and quantitative analysis method. The internal rate of return, discounting the effects of inflation (Net IRR) was 619,58% and the payback was 2,19 months. The values obtained as results show that the implementation of the project is economically viable. Scenario analysis shows that even in a very pessimistic scenario, the projection is positive.
Keywords
wort density, craft beer, Economic analysis, Risk Analysis, Sensitivity analysis
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